Jail the Walter Read reporters!

· dKo journal, Edgewise, Paleoblogs

Defense Secretary Sends Stern Message About Accountability WP, 3/3/07

DKo:
Shouldn’t they investigate the reporters for divulging the Army’s methods and resources for protecting the wounded? Jail the Walter Read reporters!
WP Article
Edgewise Readers. I’m duplicating this to make Edgewise links show up in the WP pages for both of their stories. They display the line or two just above their link.

An Irresistible Reprise

· dKo journal, Edgewise, Paleoblogs

In light of stories like this one, I can’t resist reprising part of an Edgewise post from 11/9/06. Of course, it’s still just a start, and this week’s zig can be next week’s zag.
First, the current story:
The White House Gets Neighborly in the Middle East, WP, 2/28/07
“On Jan. 11,…Rice…explain[ed] why ‘those who talk about engagement with Syria and Iran’ are all wet. ‘That’s not diplomacy — that’s extortion,…’
“When the Iraq Study Group ..proposed talking with Iran and Syria…the administration summarily dismissed the idea…
“Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn)…wondered why the administration was only now ‘backing into some consistency with the Iraq Study Group.’ Replied Gates: ‘I don’t know the answer to that question.”
And from Edgewise, 9/9/06
Bush–at least the Bush we know–may find he is a President out of the loop. He shot down every Baker initiative in advance. But Baker is acting on behalf of the broad Bush-appalled military, foreign policy, and corporate establishment. He smiled and waited, but the rangy little president is in for a surprise.
The WP article

The Isolation of George W. Bush

· dKo journal, Edgewise, Paleoblogs

[T]he neocons seem ready now to start acting unilaterally again [against Iran]….[A] grand bargain wouldn’t serve America’s purpose in the middle east…”

DKo, 2/23/07
Well, there is “America’s purpose in the middle east,” and there are the neocons–increasingly two different animals. “America’s purpose,” (as defined by the ruling elites, and represented by the Iraq Study Group and the Council on Foreign Relations) is just not as “patriotic” as the neocons are. And by now they don’t see exclusive hegemony over Iran as attainable, anyway. It could go like this…
The neocons, including Bush/Cheney, will be isolated domestically. Apparently they won’t bend, and will have to be broken.
The Dems in congress appear to have decided to make the Iraq Study Group, rather than conditional war funding, the club with which to beat Bush. It will be the substantive framework of an updated War Powers Resolution.
The one part of the ISG report that hardly anyone has criticized is the opening of diplomacy with Syria and Iran. It is going to serve as the way Republicans as well as conservative Democrats can back or ignore Bush on the Surge, vote against the new WP Resolution, but still put some distance between themselves and him.
Iran/Syria diplomacy probably has a sizable majority in both houses even as we speak. It may not be veto-proof, but it also may be so lopsided as to be irresistible.

Will the US Attack Iran?

· dKo journal, Edgewise, Paleoblogs

I think an attack on Iran has to be pre-opposed, but I don’t think it’s going to happen. Sufficient in itself is the presence of American “hostage-troops” in Iraq. The vulnerable supply-lines from the south–and their personnel–would be ravaged by Iranians and Iraqi Shiites, including much of the Iraqi Army, cutting off the rest of the US troops, many of whose outposts would anyway be overrun. Ships in the gulf will be sunk–missiles and “kamikaze” boats and planes.
Any attack on Iran “worth doing” would need to be sustained, but this would be convulsed, not “rallied round,” with Mid-East and European allies in revolt, bipartisan domestic politics in revolt, including the Republican nominees.
The attack would also have to be elaborately prepared. I think Bush and Cheney are increasingly on their own. They will be headed off. Politically, again, including all the Wise Men and foreign policy establishment in force. The military would, in effect, refuse–they have ways.* Europe, China, and Russia will have peeled off and made a separate peace.
That’s my guess.
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*Note this rather amazing article:

US generals ‘will quit’ if Bush orders Iran attack

The London Sunday Times, 2/25/07
SOME of America’s most senior military commanders are prepared to resign if the White House orders a military strike against Iran, according to highly placed defence and intelligence sources.